Papers

Our recent Papers:

2026:

BG - Understanding drivers and biases of simulated CO emissions from the INFERNO fire model over South America
Maria P. Velásquez-García, Richard J. Pope, Steven T. Turnock, Chetan Deva, David P. Moore, Guilherme Mataveli, Steve R. Arnold, Ruth M. Doherty, and Martyn P. Chipperfield

N-FOREWARNS: Regional Nowcasting of Surface Water Flooding With a 3-h Lead Time Predictability Limit
Joseph Smith, Cathryn Birch, Julia Perez, Linda Speight, John Mooney, Ben Maybee, John Marsham

SII-Nownet : A Machine Learning Tool for Nowcasting Convection Initiation and Intensification in the Tropics
Joseph Smith, Cathryn E. Birch, John Marsham, and David Moffat

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2025:

Nowcasting of dust and convective storms via diffusion-model predictions of SEVIRI RGB imagery
Kilian Hermes, John H. Marsham, Massimo Bollasina, Melissa Brooks, Martina Klose, Franco Marenco

Mid-Latitude Versus Tropical Scales of Predictability and Their Implications for Forecasting
Richard J. Keane, Douglas J. Parker, Etienne Dunn-Sigouin, Erik W. Kolstad, John H. Marsham

Postprocessing East African Rainfall Forecasts Using a Generative Machine Learning Model
Bobby Antonio, Andrew T. T. McRae, David MacLeod, Fenwick C. Cooper, John Marsham, Laurence Aitchison, Tim N. Palmer, Peter A. G. Watson

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2024:

Challenges and ways forward for sustainable weather and climate services in Africa
Benjamin Lamptey, Salah SAHABI ABED, Masilin Gudoshava, Joseph Mutemi, Mary-Jane Bopape, Elijah Adesanya Adefisan, Moudi Pascal Igri, Ibrah Seidou Sanda, Ousmane Ndiaye, Douglas J. Parker, Andrew J. Dougill, Andreas H. Fink, Peter Knippertz, Steve Woolnough & Erik W. Kolstad

Evaluating pySTEPS optical flow algorithms for convection nowcasting over the Maritime Continent using satellite data
Joseph Smith, Cathryn Birch, John Marsham, Simon Peatman, Massimo Bollasina, and George Pankiewicz

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